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How can we be Sure our Ad Concept is Going to Sell?

July 20, 2016 05:28 | Carla Nagel (Administrator)

By Martin de Munnik (Neurensics)

In 2012, Neurensics’s scientists recorded the ingredients of a TV commercial that pays off by studying the ”neural signature“ of effective ads, using functional MRI. Neurensics showed and proved that effective TV commercials have a distinctive pattern of neural activity (Lamme & Scholte, submitted). This technique and its derivative benchmark allows us to predict the effectiveness of ads before they are broadcasted. But instead of post-testing ads you want to know whether the concept itself is activating a sales intention. In 2013, the Neurensics scientists cracked that nut by reverse engineering 12 TVCs into story boards. The TV commercials and matching storyboards were studied for their mutual similarity and their correlation with the Effectiveness Benchmark (composed of Effies: effective commercials).

In September 2014, Makro, an international retailer throughout South-America and a client of our Latin subsidiary, wanted to know whether, based on their storyboard, Neurensics could answer the following questions:
1) How does the storyboard score in terms of eff ectiveness?
2) How can the eff ectiveness of the storyboard be improved?
3) Will the produced TVC score better than the original storyboard?

Benchmarking by Reverse Engineering

Makro wanted certainty in predicting consumer behavior and opted for an fMRI-study. To answer the fi rst question Neurensics developed a design in which BOLD-MRI responses were measured (GE-EPI, 3T Philips Ingenia) of subjects (n = 22) who watched the Makro storyboard and four reengineered benchmark storyboards (see below).

Scores of the Makro storyboard (purple) and produced TVC (green)

BOLD-MRI responses are relative, just like many other measurement tools such as questionnaires and EEG. The power of the results is much improved by using benchmark stimuli.

As this was the first time Neurensics worked on predicting the effectiveness of a storyboard in Argentina they had no readily available benchmark material. However, from previous studies in which they tested Argentine TVCs they selected two effective commercials (measured upfront and acknowledged afterwards as Effi e-winners) and two non-effective commercials. In order to compare apples with apples these TVCs were reengineered into moving storyboards.

The 22 subjects were measured in one weekend and the results were presented on the Wednesday after the fi nal measurements. On the basis of these results and an expert opinion, advice was generated how the commercial could be improved. Next Makro produced the TVC. In a second experiment new subjects (n=22) were measured while presenting them the produced TVC together with the four TVCs on which the benchmark storyboard was generated. Using these measurements the effectiveness of the produced commercial and the quality of our previously given advice were topic of research.

Tested Storyboards with fMRI

In the first experiment, we found that the Makro storyboard scored below average in terms of effectiveness: it activated more negative than positive emotions. In particular, the storyboard did not activate decent levels of trust and expectation. The overall result was a negative score on infl uencing buying behavior.

In addition, it was interesting to see that the benchmark storyboards of previously tested TVCs came out almost identically as had been seen in previous studies. This confirms that fMRI pre-testing of storyboards can be used to predict the effectiveness of the to-be-produced TVC.

We identified specific scenes in the storyboard that provoked fear (eg, bloody meat, a forklift with a pallet and someone just walking under it), anger and rejection. Furthermore, we believed that the low levels of trust, expectation and desire were caused by not mentioning Makro’s end value. Finally, we identified some story plots that were not resolved in the storyboard and advised adding music with a climax.

Based on these conclusions, the ad agency changed the script and implemented our advice. The produced TVC showed a dramatic and significant increase in positive emotions as well as a decrease in negative emotions. The benchmark TVCs again scored in a similar way as their storyboard versions, indicating that the improvement was a result of the changes in the script and not a production difference between storyboards and TVCs. The results therefore show that the TVC improved in quality based on the previously given advice, generated on the basis of the storyboard measurements.

At the time of writing, (December 2014), Makro has confirmed an increase in their sales of 12% in units/ volume compared with the same period last year in a country that has been in recession for several years.

12% More Sales

On the whole, this research shows that it is possible to test the effectiveness of TVCs based on their storyboards. Since producing storyboards is much cheaper than producing a TVC, it makes sense to test one or several storyboards and consequently improve the storyboards based on the feedback. In this specific case, the pre-test led to an improvement of Makro’s TV campaign. The effectiveness of this technique has been demonstrated by a 12% increase in sales compared with the same period last year.

We believe it is essential to use BOLD-MRI for pretests, as BOLD-MRI makes it possible to distinguish between the many brain networks that are important to evaluate the effectivity of ads. Limbic brain structures particularly, like the nucleus accumbens, are hard to measure with techniques such as EEG.

Revolutionizing the way TVCs are produced

The research project of the Makro storyboard was performed in fi ve days, from the first measurement to the delivery of data. Depending on the continent, Neurensics is now capable of shortening this cycle to three to four days. This makes it viable to perform pre-testing of storyboards on a routine basis for ad-agencies. In this way, it will become possible to improve the effectiveness of TVCs in a very cost-efficient manner. Neurensics believes this has the potential to revolutionize the way TVCs are produced.


This article was originally published in the Neuromarketing Yearbook 2015. Order the 2016 Neuromarketing Yearbook now!


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